Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 22

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 27 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 1 July 2026 at 02:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 24 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued June 30 at 9:11PM EDT until June 30 at 10:15PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI

How we know

Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 69 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)22 / 100
Our confidence69%
Coordinates44.2872, -86.8479
Nearest CityManitowoc (68 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-07-01T01:11:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4a53a09f2206ba2928c0ba1c2719c139

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescPentwater to Manistee MI; Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Manistee to Point Betsie MI; Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI; Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI; Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued June 30 at 9:11PM EDT until June 30 at 10:15PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI
Expires2026-06-30T22:15:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Grand Rapids MI
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4a53a09f2206ba2928c0ba1c2719c139e09b4e5e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cb7d5ff6196eda49c9710fd732e39c71254086b9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.96a66e1e376aa2554ef7c81933f64427d999b3e4.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude0.75
Iem UnitInch
Iem City1 W Casco
Iem CountyKewaunee
Iem StateWI
Iem WfoGRB
Iem RemarkReport from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_D_44.690_-87.480_1782863460000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1782863460000,"latitude":44.69,"longitude":-87.48},{"id":"iem_H_44.560_-87.630_1782864120000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1782864120000,"latitude":44.56,"longitude":-87.63}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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